Monday 11 June 2012

SPAIN: A Pyrrhic victory / -2



SPAIN 5 - 0 EUROZONE
Nope, it's not the latest soccer result, but the score of Spanish debtors against the eurozone creditors. It took me a couple of hours of "eurospeak" from colleagues to understand why the Spanish PM would call it a victory to assume $130 billion of new debt. For a while even the markets celebrated and rallied, against my sceptical warnings and misgivings. Since then, however, the markets have come to their senses: the euro dropped from $1.2660 to 1.2485, the yield of the 10-year Spanish bond soared to unsustainable 6.44% (after briefly falling under 6%), and stock markets reversed the earlier stampede.

In cynical eurospeak, my colleague opened my eyes: "Look Elgar, when a country already suffocating of sovereign debt of $1.2 trillion, and which all sides realize it can never repay, it must count as a victorious coup to receive an additional $130 billion from some idiots, until a delayed and inevitable bailout will ultimately wipe out the new amount of debt!"

I guess so...


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